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DTSTART:20260617T170000
DTEND:20260617T183000
SUMMARY:The unanchored central banker
LOCATION:London School of Economics: In-person public event (Alumni Theatr
 e\, Cheng Kin Ku Building)
DESCRIPTION:Wednesday 17 June 2026 6pm - 7.30pmSpeakersProfessor Charles G
 oodhartManoj PradhanChairSir Charles BeanJoin us for the book launch of Th
 e Unanchored Central Banker.Through little fault of their own\, central ba
 nks face an erosion of their ability to fight inflation single-mindedly as
  they have done in the past.In this sequel to Charles Goodhart and Manoj P
 radhan's first book\, The Great Demographic Reversal\, they argue that (i)
  demography and recent trends in immigration will lead to much greater fis
 cal deterioration than forecasts suggest\, (ii) real interest rates will r
 ise because government dissavings will handily counterbalance any increase
  in household savings in an increasingly aged society\, and (iii) as China
 ’s disinflationary influence subsides over the medium-term\, inflation w
 ill rise.Could AI offset demographic headwinds? Possibly\, but AI is unlik
 e technological shocks of the past\, and history suggests innovations tend
  to lead to net gains in employment\, especially in the medium term. Simil
 arly\, China could generate uncertain near-term effects\, but is unlikely 
 to be a disinflationary force in the medium term.The net outcome for monet
 ary policy is not encouraging. Fighting inflation in highly indebted econo
 mies can lead to financial instability in the near term\, or (ironically) 
 more inflation in the future. The glory days of central banks\, the author
 s argue\, may be behind us.There will be no book sales on the event day. C
 opies of the book can be ordered from Amazon.Event hashtag: #LSECentralBan
 kerMeet our speakers and chairCharles Goodhart was trained as an economist
  at Cambridge (Undergraduate) and Harvard (PhD).  He then entered into a
  career that alternated between academia (Cambridge\, 1963-65\; LSE\, 1967
 /68\; and again 1985 to date)\, and work in the official sector\, mostly i
 n the Bank of England (Department of Economic Affairs\, 1965/66\; Bank of 
 England\, 1968-85\; Monetary Policy Committee\, 1997-2000).  He is now N
 orman Sosnow Professor Emeritus at LSE.  He has worked throughout as a s
 pecialist monetary economist\, focusing on policy issues and on financial 
 regulation\, both as an academic and in the Bank.  He devised ‘the Cor
 set’ in 1974\, advised HK on ‘the Link’ in 1983\, and RBNZ on inflat
 ion targeting in 1988.  Recently\, he has written\, co-authored with Man
 oj Pradhan\, a book on The Great Demographic Reversal\, suggesting that t
 he decades of disinflation and falling interest rates would come to an end
 . Charles is the author of Goodhart’s Law “that any observed statistic
 al regularity will tend to collapse once pressure is placed upon it for co
 ntrol purposes.”Manoj Pradhan is the founder of Talking Heads Macroecono
 mics\, an independent research firm based in London\, and co-author of The
  Great Demographic Reversal with Charles Goodhart. Manoj was previously Ma
 naging Director at Morgan Stanley\, where he led the Global Economics team
 \, driving macroeconometric research into global economic themes. He joine
 d Morgan Stanley in 2005 after serving on the faculty of George Washington
  University and the State University of New York. He has a PhD in economic
 s from George Washington University and a Master’s in Finance from the L
 ondon Business School.Sir Charles Bean is Emeritus Professor of Economics 
 at LSE and Chairman of the Centre for Economic Policy Research. Between 20
 16 and 2021\, he was also a member of the Budget Responsibility Committee 
 at the Office for Budget Responsibility. From 2000 to 2014\, he served at 
 the Bank of England as Chief Economist and then Deputy Governor for Moneta
 ry Policy\, sitting on both the Monetary Policy and Financial Policy Commi
 ttees and representing the Bank internationally at the G7 and G20. Before 
 joining the Bank\, he was a member of the economics faculty at LSE and has
  also worked at HM Treasury. He has served as Managing Editor of the Revie
 w of Economic Studies and in 2016 produced a major review of the quality\,
  delivery and governance of UK economic statistics at the request of the g
 overnment. He was knighted in 2014 for services to monetary policy and cen
 tral banking\, and was President of the Royal Economic Society from 2013 t
 o 2015. He holds a PhD from MIT.More about this eventThe Financial Markets
  Group (@FMG_LSE) is a leading centre for research into financial markets.
  Research at the FMG examines how stable and efficient the financial syste
 m is\, how it supports the real economy\, and what policy measures can gen
 erate improvements in these dimensions.Whilst we are hosting this listing\
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